Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 14.348638 16.688810 19.234331 22.201665 25.558139 29.229336 33.540725
2025-08-17 10.084632 13.195742 16.925069 21.689786 27.576881 34.571136 43.464146
2025-08-24 7.550856 10.871964 15.174516 21.079023 28.881321 38.738738 52.018446
2025-08-31 5.748743 9.005971 13.520925 20.106535 29.311723 41.543792 58.811155
2025-09-07 4.868190 8.194290 13.074475 20.560875 31.514276 46.670242 68.870946
2025-09-14 4.184304 7.524366 12.685515 20.969267 33.589170 51.679292 79.038740
2025-09-21 3.478737 6.680019 11.885109 20.613910 34.436303 54.924103 86.852198
2025-09-28 2.874469 5.887546 11.035415 20.039380 34.830073 57.451767 93.700889
2025-10-05 2.716128 5.851286 11.417453 21.472180 38.454614 65.047945 108.555375
2025-10-12 2.529410 5.726799 11.620495 22.604229 41.656806 72.168296 123.075415
2025-10-19 2.251159 5.373984 11.362973 22.894393 43.457118 77.155151 134.518241
2025-10-26 1.986555 5.000745 11.013538 22.968133 44.866879 81.563553 145.247234
2025-11-02 1.674346 4.490614 10.376500 22.526300 45.487571 84.963755 154.996321
2025-11-09 1.395917 4.002526 9.721407 21.991785 45.929834 88.165279 164.767132
2025-11-16 1.157026 3.551473 9.068636 21.370922 46.134940 90.947611 173.985505
2025-11-23 0.933766 3.081743 8.292694 20.386279 45.526511 92.208145 180.606586
2025-11-30 0.838195 2.928967 8.208914 20.846008 47.769257 98.747228 196.870810
2025-12-07 0.751923 2.781015 8.111739 21.259287 49.943070 105.282553 213.476693
2025-12-14 0.638330 2.521010 7.695718 20.899665 50.484309 108.767330 224.705405
2025-12-21 0.532563 2.253902 7.213169 20.318221 50.490753 111.204422 234.102450
2025-12-28 0.521335 2.299110 7.565092 21.768214 54.988803 122.657471 261.012705
2026-01-04 0.497887 2.296054 7.784105 22.913740 58.900449 133.158647 286.601334
2026-01-11 0.447206 2.180214 7.667987 23.207342 60.930396 139.999826 305.479919